Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.684063 3.924756 4.183469 4.484087 4.826216 5.206460 5.665320
2025-02-16 3.223522 3.533836 3.885918 4.320951 4.852900 5.494859 6.349516
2025-02-23 2.874193 3.218871 3.626421 4.155354 4.842567 5.735817 7.044986
2025-03-02 2.582785 2.939088 3.373830 3.960400 4.761681 5.873102 7.656840
2025-03-09 2.388398 2.757725 3.221642 3.871214 4.803888 6.188708 8.652152
2025-03-16 2.202952 2.570808 3.042925 3.722882 4.738288 6.333410 9.444931
2025-03-23 2.094420 2.473312 2.971534 3.712867 4.873183 6.829958 11.161420
2025-03-30 1.991282 2.374377 2.888306 3.674384 4.956399 7.264817 13.079455
2025-04-06 1.889451 2.269759 2.787923 3.597948 4.964025 7.565367 14.966914
2025-04-13 1.786863 2.157657 2.668381 3.479258 4.880537 7.664282 16.423551
2025-04-20 1.741087 2.120900 2.653853 3.523147 5.092197 8.466030 21.601976
2025-04-27 1.701949 2.090588 2.645733 3.575493 5.329483 9.438323 30.613175
2025-05-04 1.654283 2.049197 2.623637 3.612548 5.569125 10.630635 50.788168
2025-05-11 1.605976 2.004412 2.593569 3.633935 5.788435 11.965675 111.251886
2025-05-18 1.550964 1.946911 2.539820 3.607849 5.902719 13.098933 490.313975
2025-05-25 1.488139 1.874770 2.458339 3.522943 5.866108 13.683431 NaN
2025-06-01 1.442525 1.826223 2.411683 3.498654 5.973972 15.039983 NaN
2025-06-08 1.387557 1.761070 2.334202 3.408102 5.898552 15.514361 NaN
2025-06-15 1.356717 1.731161 2.312639 3.423954 6.106608 17.840512 NaN
2025-06-22 1.322391 1.694264 2.277083 3.408259 6.227966 19.990444 NaN
2025-06-29 1.283689 1.648982 2.224876 3.353849 6.228587 21.402531 NaN
2025-07-06 1.240271 1.594824 2.155072 3.257675 6.088992 21.525541 NaN
2025-07-13 1.223220 1.581125 2.153419 3.302944 6.390070 26.707358 NaN